We are already in Week 7 and what might have been a potentially exciting matchup in primetime at the beginning of the season seems like a bit of a dud this week. That doesn't matter though, because we will get some fun plus money plays to try out during Sunday Night Football. If you want to experience the experts' plays, click Buy Packages above and enjoy the picks of BTB and BTBJesse.
The musical chair game that is the 49ers quarterback situation seems to be landing on Jimmy Garoppolo for the game against the Colts. The 49ers have had no shortage of injuries, but I feel like this would've been a bad reality show either way because of the desire to get Trey Lance involved. After starting the season with two wins, the 49ers have dropped their last three games - all against considerably better opponents.
The Colts also only have two wins. They've lost four games and most of them have been fairly close. Just two weeks ago they went into Baltimore and really should've won the game. Carson Wentz still looks like an average quarterback to me, but he has only thrown one interception this season so he's doing a good enough job of protecting the ball. Or, perhaps, the Colts are just creating good game plans for his skillset? Either way, he is managing the game and keeping them close while they hope the defense can contain the opponent.
There isn't really much of a trend for the Colts or 49ers for scoring and first scoring plays. I really do like Jonathan Taylor to score the first touchdown of the game at +650. The Colts use him in the passing game and the 49ers allow 113 rushing yards a game as well as six rushing touchdowns on the season.
On the other side, I'm playing Deebo Samuel to have the 49ers first touchdown of the game for the 49ers specifically. That means we could potentially win both of this. However, if Samuel scores before Taylor, we would split. Samuel is +380 to score the 49ers first touchdown. He is the favorite target of the quarterbacks as he has 52 targets in five games. That's literally more than 3x the amount of the next closest receiver on the team in targets.
The last one I have my eye on is for both teams to score in every quarter. This is a long shot, and it is priced that same way at +1000 for it to happen. The rationale is light on this too, I think both defenses allow the teams to move the ball, the 49ers have a great kicker, the Colts kicker... is not. But, if they can get close enough, they should be able to rely on him. Again, it's a long shot, but let's pay for some juciy Italian beef sammiches all week with this play.
- David Troy