I've talked a bit about some of my favorite win total bets for the AL, now I am going to share a few teams I like in the National League. I'll be honest, I've had a lot of success in the past with MLB daily plays, but the futures have been a bit of a mixed bag. If you want the futures from BTB and Jesse, all MLB futures are included with the first 30 days of plays for the MLB. You can buy that package by clicking above and getting it today!
Arizona Diamondbacks over 83.5 wins
I was a huge Diamondbacks Stan last season. They were one of the teams that I was certainly correct about in the early going, but even I didn't think they would get to the World Series. That's eventually where they ended up, falling short to the winners, the Texas Rangers. They didn't do a ton of bold moves this offseason, but they were able to get a new 3rd baseman in Eugenio Suarez and a DH in Joc Pederson. Their rotation is still strong with Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly leading the way. Eduardo Rodriguez is the newcomer and if he can replicate his success from Detroit last year, the Diamondbacks should fly over this total. This is a tough division, but I still have them as the second-best team in it.
New York Mets under 81.5 wins
As much of a fan of the Diamondbacks, as I was last season, I was the exact opposite for the Mets. I thought they were overrated coming into the year. This team is returning basically the same squad as last year with no real large upgrade in the lineup. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso continue to be the main considerations of concern on offense. The pitching staff is comprised of a bunch of formerly talented pitchers. In order for the Mets to get over this total, I think at least three of the arms need to have rebounds or career years. I'm not thinking everything will click and I'll take the under.
Atlanta Braves over 101.5 wins
101 in 2022, 104 in 2023, and, I think, 102+ in 2024. The Braves continue their franchise run of great regular-season teams that fall short in the playoffs. They have the reigning MVP in Ronald Acuna Jr., a constant deep threat in Matt Olson, and the rest of the lineup is full of dangerous and complementary hitters. There were seven Braves that hit at least 20 homers last season and almost five that had 100 or more RBIs. The team had a +231 run differential. Their offense is very good, and even if they all take a collective step back slightly (which is unlikely) they will still be very good. Their rotation is very good with Spencer Strider, Max Fried, and Charlie Morton. If Chris Sale regains any of his form, he will help them. They have a strong bullpen. I think it is a tight line, but I see them winning 102 or more.
Chicago Cubs under 84.5 wins
As much as it pains me to write this, I don't think the Cubs are going to improve. Here is how their offseason looked: They traded for Michael Busch, a guy who struggled in limited appearances last season for the Dodgers. They resigned Cody Bellinger which was a nice win for them but he still needs to replicate his production from last season. They added Shota Imanaga, who is replacing the departed Marcus Stroman. If he is equivalent to what Stroman did with the Cubs, then they might have a shot to go over this total. The chances are slim in my opinion though. Outside of Justin Steele, who is still young and might have had his best season last year, there are a lot of questions about the team's rotation and bullpen. I think they are closer to 81 wins than they are 85. Personally, I hope I'm wrong. But, when it comes to my money, I think I'll be correct on this one.
- David
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